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Risk Area Accuracy and Hurricane Evacuation Expectations of Coastal Residents

Department of Landscape Architecture and Urban Planning at Texas A & M University

Michael K. Lindell

Department of Landscape Architecture and Urban Planning at Texas A & M University

Carla S. Prater

Hazard Reduction and Recovery Center at Texas A & M University

Yang Zhang

Department of Landscape Architecture and Urban Planning at Texas A & M University

This study examined the accuracy with which Texas coastal residents were able to locate their residences on hurricane risk area maps provided to them. Overall, only 36% of the respondents correctly identified their risk areas and another 28% were off by one risk area. Risk area accuracy shows minimal correlations with respondents’ demographic characteristics but is negatively correlated with the respondent’s previous hurricane exposure and evacuation experience. Ultimately, risk area accuracy appears to have little significance because it is uncorrelated with evacuation expectations. Instead, the latter were related to respondents’ previous hazard experience and expected evacuation context.

Key Words: risk perception • evacuation expectations • hurricanes

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